{"id":2724,"date":"2016-01-04T08:42:21","date_gmt":"2016-01-04T13:42:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/antipaucity.com\/?p=2724"},"modified":"2016-01-04T08:42:21","modified_gmt":"2016-01-04T13:42:21","slug":"prediction-look-back","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/?p=2724","title":{"rendered":"prediction look back"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Time to look back at last year&#8217;s tech <a href=\"http:\/\/antipaucity.com\/2015\/02\/12\/my-tech-predictions-for-2015\/#.VQMb8RDF8nQ\">predictions<\/a>. I did this at the half-way <a href=\"http:\/\/antipaucity.com\/2015\/09\/09\/half-year-update-how-are-my-predictions-so-far\">point<\/a>, so let&#8217;s see what has changed since then.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>{{AIX}} is still kickin&#8217;<\/li>\n<li>{{HPUX}} hasn&#8217;t died yet \ud83d\ude41<\/li>\n<li>{{Solaris}} is still being clung-to by {{Oracle}}<\/li>\n<li>HP split in half &#8211; count this a win<\/li>\n<li>{{IBM}} has dropped from 162 to 138 per share &#8211; count this a win<\/li>\n<li>IBM still doesn&#8217;t realize POWER is having death-throes, but it&#8217;s also not dead yet &#8230; so this was wrong<\/li>\n<li>{{Z\/OS}} has continued, though not growing as much as I hoped<\/li>\n<li>{{cloud}} is less of a &#8220;thing&#8221; and more of a &#8220;thing&#8221; at the same time &#8230; this is a wash<\/li>\n<li>cloud hosting providers\u00a0<em>are<\/em> competing more on price .. but not as much as I&#8217;d expected<\/li>\n<li>more &#8220;new&#8221; (ie less than 15 years old) tech and tools are making their ways into stodgy businesses and government agencies, but it&#8217;s painfully slow to watch<\/li>\n<li>everyone is trying to be buzzword-compliant &#8211; this is a definite win<\/li>\n<li>&#8220;real&#8221; 3D hasn&#8217;t arrived on cell phones (though the extra touch sensitivity of the new {{iPhone 6S}} and 6S Plus is cool<\/li>\n<li>still counting the {{iPad Pro}} as a correct on my &#8220;MacBook Flex&#8221; prediction<\/li>\n<li>no fat binary option with the latest OS X to support iOS and x86 hardware<\/li>\n<li>no non-x86 Macs .. but the iPad Pro is close<\/li>\n<li>Apple may or may not be working on developing a car &#8230; this is not true\u00a0<em>yet<\/em>, but I think it will be &#8220;soon&#8221;<\/li>\n<li>Tesla has added models, but nothing in the &#8220;everyday&#8221; category yet<\/li>\n<li>SpaceX hasn&#8217;t sent anything to Venus or Mars, but they&#8217;ve done a bunch of other cool stuff<\/li>\n<li>Square doesn&#8217;t have a bank option<\/li>\n<li>no local competition against <a href=\"https:\/\/www.uber.com\/invite\/warrenm61\">Uber<\/a> and Lyft .. but they&#8217;re growing like crazy<\/li>\n<li>more cities and regions are fast moving towards being &#8220;gigacities&#8221; .. not as many as I&#8217;d hoped, but it&#8217;s happening<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>In a week or two I&#8217;ll put out my predictions for 2016. But first, what are yours?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Time to look back at last year&#8217;s tech predictions. I did this at the half-way point, so let&#8217;s see what has changed since then. {{AIX}} is still kickin&#8217; {{HPUX}} hasn&#8217;t died yet \ud83d\ude41 {{Solaris}} is still being clung-to by {{Oracle}} HP split in half &#8211; count this a win {{IBM}} has dropped from 162 to &hellip;<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/?p=2724\" class=\"more-link pen_button pen_element_default pen_icon_arrow_double\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">prediction look back<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_hide_featured_image":false,"_jetpack_featured_image_duplicate_dismissed":0,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[7,46],"tags":[589],"keyring_services":[],"class_list":["post-2724","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-commentary","category-update","tag-prediction"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2724","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2724"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2724\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2724"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2724"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2724"},{"taxonomy":"keyring_services","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fkeyring_services&post=2724"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}