{"id":2518,"date":"2015-02-12T09:18:30","date_gmt":"2015-02-12T14:18:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/antipaucity.com\/?p=2518"},"modified":"2015-02-12T09:18:30","modified_gmt":"2015-02-12T14:18:30","slug":"my-tech-predictions-for-2015","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/?p=2518","title":{"rendered":"my tech predictions for 2015"},"content":{"rendered":"

I put these up as a comment on Cringely.com<\/a> – but they deserve sharing here, too.<\/p>\n

In no particular order:
\n\u2013 {{AIX}} EoL\u2019d
\n\u2013 {{HP-UX}} retired
\n\u2013 {{Itanium}} EoL\u2019d (perhaps on an accelerated schedule)
\n\u2013 Solaris truly open-sourced \/ abandoned by {{Oracle}} in favor of OEL
\n\u2013 HP spins-off more business units
\n\u2013 IBM loses 25-35% of its value \u2013 and spins-off \/ sells more business units to make Wall Street happy
\n\u2013 POWER continues to slow; {{IBM}} doesn\u2019t understand it needs to stop putting so much money into it until all the engineers have been fired
\n\u2013 {{Z\/OS}} systems grow dramatically \u2013 the only place IBM makes *more* money
\n\u2013 people finally realize \u201ccloud\u201d isn\u2019t a \u201cthing\u201d \u2013 it\u2019s just renting crap when you need it (perhaps from yourself (private cloud)) and giving it back when you don\u2019t
\n\u2013 {{cloud}} hosting providers cut prices so things like {{AWS}} instances are no longer more expensive than dedicated hardware (see eg http:\/\/benmilleare.com\/how-shaving-0-001s-from-a-function-saved-us-400-dollars<\/a>)
\n\u2013 enough of the Old Guard hits retirement age that New School tech can finally make big inroads into stodgy businesses and government (automation, cloud, *aaS, etc)
\n\u2013 buzzword-compliance becomes necessary even for mom-and-pop shops who don\u2019t have computers
\n\u2013 {{Android}} 6 brings native, \u201creal\u201d 3D to cell phones
\n\u2013 \u2026 and {{iOS}} 9 makes it look \u201cgood\u201d
\n\u2013 there\u2019s a new {{MacBook}} Flex that offers touchscreen, a fold-flat-reverse form factor, and 12 hours of battery life; the {{iPad}} 5 is the first 5K resolution tablet, with a full day of battery life
\n\u2013 Max OS 10.11, aka Denali, allows users to run iOS apps via a \u201cfat binary\u201d model (harking back to the shift to PowerPC from 68k and then again x86 from PowerPC)
\n\u2013 Apple announces the first non-x86 Macs (starting with the Flex)
\n\u2013 Apple<\/a> buys a car company in cash<\/a> \u2013 {{Porsche}} or {{Hyundai}} (Hyundai would be the smart move \u2013 get more electronics manufacturing capability in-house; spin-off heavy industry wing)
\n\u2013 Tesla<\/a> introduces a model that non-millionaires can afford \u2013 bringing snazzy competition to the Volt price point
\n\u2013 SpaceX<\/a> sends a mission to Venus, and another to Mars
\n\u2013 Square<\/a> opens an online bank
\n\u2013 Uber<\/a> and Lyft<\/a> grow, win cases against taxi companies \u2013 and local competition pops-up all over the country
\n\u2013 several major metro areas across the US all enter the \u201cgigacity\u201d club
\n\u2013 \u2026 but it\u2019s led with smaller metro areas (like Chattanooga<\/a> has already done)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

I put these up as a comment on Cringely.com – but they deserve sharing here, too. In no particular order: \u2013 {{AIX}} EoL\u2019d \u2013 {{HP-UX}} retired \u2013 {{Itanium}} EoL\u2019d (perhaps on an accelerated schedule) \u2013 Solaris truly open-sourced \/ abandoned by {{Oracle}} in favor of OEL \u2013 HP spins-off more business units \u2013 IBM loses …
Continue reading my tech predictions for 2015<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_hide_featured_image":false,"_jetpack_featured_image_duplicate_dismissed":0,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[7],"tags":[589],"keyring_services":[],"class_list":["post-2518","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-commentary","tag-prediction"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2518","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2518"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2518\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2518"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2518"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2518"},{"taxonomy":"keyring_services","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fkeyring_services&post=2518"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}