{"id":105359,"date":"2025-07-18T12:28:48","date_gmt":"2025-07-18T12:28:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/?p=105359"},"modified":"2025-07-18T12:28:48","modified_gmt":"2025-07-18T12:28:48","slug":"if-i-roll-a-dice-just-once-and-get-the-number-1-does-that-mean-i-will-always-get-the-number-1-should-i-conclude-based-on-a-single-observation-that-the-dice-is-biased-to-the-number-1-and-was-tra","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/?p=105359","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;If I roll a dice just once and get the number 1, does  that mean I will always get the number 1? Should I conclude based on a  single observation that the dice is biased to the number 1 and was  trained to be predisposed to rolling a 1?&#8221;\n\nvia @danluu (https:\/\/t.co\/fi7cqbWUEn)"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">&#8220;If I roll a dice just once and get the number 1, does  that mean I will always get the number 1? Should I conclude based on a  single observation that the dice is biased to the number 1 and was  trained to be predisposed to rolling a 1?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>via @danluu (https:\/\/t.co\/fi7cqbWUEn)<\/p>\n<p>  &mdash; M\u0250\u0279\u0279\u01ddu W\u028e\u01dd\u0279s (@warrenmyers)<br \/>\n  <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/warrenmyers\/status\/1946185183343898865\">Jul 18, 2025<\/a>\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<br \/>\nfrom Twitter https:\/\/twitter.com\/warrenmyers<\/p>\n<p>July 18, 2025 at 08:28AM<br \/>\nvia <a href=\"https:\/\/ifttt.com\/?ref=da&#038;site=wordpress\">IFTTT<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;If I roll a dice just once and get the number 1, does that mean I will always get the number 1? Should I conclude based on a single observation that the dice is biased to the number 1 and was trained to be predisposed to rolling a 1?&#8221; via @danluu (https:\/\/t.co\/fi7cqbWUEn) &mdash; M\u0250\u0279\u0279\u01ddu W\u028e\u01dd\u0279s &hellip;<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/?p=105359\" class=\"more-link pen_button pen_element_default pen_icon_arrow_double\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">&#8220;If I roll a dice just once and get the number 1, does  that mean I will always get the number 1? Should I conclude based on a  single observation that the dice is biased to the number 1 and was  trained to be predisposed to rolling a 1?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>via @danluu (https:\/\/t.co\/fi7cqbWUEn)<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[4],"tags":[792],"keyring_services":[],"class_list":["post-105359","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blih","tag-twitter"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105359","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=105359"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105359\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":105360,"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105359\/revisions\/105360"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=105359"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=105359"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=105359"},{"taxonomy":"keyring_services","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/merikebi.warrenmyers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fkeyring_services&post=105359"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}